My prediction has come true! An Energy to SD question! I should buy a lotto ticket.
*ahem* Now to the point at hand.
Your scenario...
10,000,000 Colonists
30% of the planets resources making ENERGY (assuming no planetary +/- bonus or penalty to energy and that the planet can produce 100% energy)
250 Colonists to produce 1 Energy (current beta - I wish PJ would use minor beta revision #'s like AAT .30.070 cause this has to be about the 7th release!)
0.6 Unit of Energy used per sector fighter
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First lets find out how much energy you produce -
10,000,000 x .30 = 3,000,000 / 250 = 12,000 units of energy per "turn" (300 seconds).
Now let's find out how many fighters that will support -
12,000 / 0.6 = 20,000
You can find the variables on the "settings" pick when you go to log into the beta.